Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)The director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down early on January 20th. On December 12th, local time, the Federal Aviation Administration said that the director of the Federal Aviation Administration, Mike Whitaker, will step down after President-elect Trump took office on January 20th. It is reported that Whitaker was confirmed for a five-year term in October 2023. In addition, Katie Thomson, deputy director of the Federal Aviation Administration of the United States, will step down on January 10th, and Mark House, assistant director of finance and management of the agency, will be the senior acting official of the agency during the transition period.Dingshi Capital: Liu Yundi was appointed as an executive director, and Dingshi Capital (00804) announced that Ms. Liu Yundi had been appointed as an executive director, effective from December 12, 2024.
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has regained consciousness after undergoing head surgery again. At present, the situation is stable. On the morning of 12th local time, Brazilian President Lula underwent head surgery again in the Syrian-Lebanese hospital in Sao Paulo, the largest city in the country, to prevent further intracranial hemorrhage. The reporter from the General Station learned from the press conference held by the hospital that Lula had recovered after the operation and was in a stable condition, so he could talk with the medical staff. The medical team said that the operation, as part of the first treatment on the 10th, started at around 7: 00 on the 12th and lasted less than an hour. The medical staff said that the operation was successful and Lula needed further examination in the intensive care unit until the 13th. According to the current rehabilitation situation, the medical team assessed that Lula's discharge time was on the 16th or 17th of this month.On average, the patients who won the bid from more than 6 enterprises for each drug can use the tenth batch of products won by the state in April next year. The reporter learned from the National Medical Insurance Bureau that the tenth batch of centralized drug purchase organized by the state has produced the results of the proposed bid, and 62 drugs have been successfully purchased, all of which have passed the patent period, and are produced by many enterprises and fully competitive. A total of 385 products from 234 enterprises were qualified to be selected, and on average, more than 6 enterprises of each variety planned to win the bid. In April next year, patients can use the bid-winning products after the price reduction of this centralized purchase.Famous and excellent products rose by more than 5.5%, and institutions are optimistic about the sustained high growth of overseas markets.
Lian Ping, Dean and Chief Economist of Guangkai Chief Industry Research Institute: It is expected that deficit ratio will be allocated 4%-4.5% next year, and its finance will be more active to meet the current economic needs. (Xinhua Finance)The test drive of Jiyue Direct Store is locked and can't be tested. "The test drive has been locked and can't be tested. It is meaningless to see the car now." On December 12, a staff member of a Jiyue Auto Direct Store in Minhang District, Shanghai told reporters. When asked about vehicle maintenance and after-sales, the staff did not give an answer and immediately walked into the office. In fact, since December 10th, there have been news that "the shareholders of Extreme Vietnam will no longer invest" and "Extreme Vietnam will close the vehicle business". Xia Yiping, CEO of Jiyue Automobile, explained in an internal meeting on December 12 that the company's account has been frozen, but it is still seeking financing. The company has not shut down or closed down, and the warranty and software services of the whole vehicle will not be interrupted. (Shell Finance)Tian Xuan, Dean of Tsinghua University National Institute of Finance and Professor of Finance: Comprehensive measures are taken to promote sustained and stable economic growth and high-quality development. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that next year, we should persist in striving for progress while maintaining stability, promoting stability through progress, maintaining integrity and innovation, making innovations before breaking, systematically integrating and cooperating, enriching and improving the policy toolbox, and improving the foresight, pertinence and effectiveness of macro-control. In this regard, Tian Xuan, dean of Tsinghua University National Finance Research Institute and professor of finance, said that the meeting clarified the core strategy of economic work next year, emphasized the innovation, systematicness and coordination of policies, and reflected the decision-makers' accurate judgment on the economic situation and positive attitude towards new changes and challenges. Tian Xuan said that compared with the past, the current policy orientation is more positive, such as "moderately loose monetary policy" and "more active fiscal policy", paying more attention to innovation, while adhering to the basic principles and bottom line, exploring new working ideas, paying more attention to the systematic nature of policies, considering the mutual influence and synergistic effect between various policies and the coordination and cooperation between different departments and policies, and maximizing the policy effect through comprehensive policies to solve the outstanding problems currently facing and promote the economy. (SSE)